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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards for the next 4 hours.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, USDJPY could experience an upwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this, and the trend could last 4 hours because the released value is < €17.8B. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Dec 07:00
07 Nov 07:00
06 Sep 06:00
07 Aug 06:00
07 Jun 06:00
07 May 06:00
08 Apr 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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