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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect a $435 movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the release of Durable Goods Orders MoM at 2025-05-27 12:30. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-05-27 12:30 if the released value is > -7.8%. A price movement of 60 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Apr 12:30
26 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30
25 Oct 12:30
26 Sep 12:30
27 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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