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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect a $721 movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-12 13:45. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-12 13:45 if the released value is = 2.75%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 14:45
11 Dec 14:45
23 Oct 13:45
24 Jul 13:45
05 Jun 13:45
10 Apr 13:45
06 Dec 15:00
25 Oct 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $297873 movement on ES within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-03-12 13:45.

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