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We expect TN to trend downwards today with a 71.43% chance.

We expect TN to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Canada Balance of Trade news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < C$-5.8B. A price movement of 13984 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jun 12:30
03 Apr 12:30
05 Feb 13:30
05 Nov 13:30
08 Oct 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $326 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-05 12:30.

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NZDUSD broke through a resistance at 2025-08-05T22:45:00.000Z, with the price momentum continuing to move in an upward direction over the next hours, good opportunity presents itself with the price expected to reach 0.5917.

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