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We expect SM to trend upwards with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect SM to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect SM to trend upwards for 12 hours because the released value is < 2.4%. A price movement of 200 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jul 23:30
28 Mar 23:30
29 Oct 23:30
27 Sep 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today.

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