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We expect S to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect S to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect S to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-06-26 12:30 if the released value is < 8.5%. A price movement of 6 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Jan 13:30
23 Dec 14:30
27 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $630 movement on GBPUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-06-26 12:30.

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