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We expect RTY to trend upwards for the next 4 hours.

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 85.71% chance of RTY trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.3%. A price movement of 3984 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jan 13:30
14 Dec 13:30
15 Nov 13:30
17 Oct 12:30
14 Sep 12:30
15 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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