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We expect RTY to trend downwards for the next 12 hours.

We expect RTY to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > -3. A price movement of 112 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Feb 00:30
12 Nov 00:30
09 Jul 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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