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We expect PL to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events in Germany, we expect PL to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect PL to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 24 Mar 08:30 if the released value is < 55.8. A price movement of 909 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Sep 07:30
23 Aug 07:30
21 May 07:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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