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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect a 20 pip movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 06:00. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 06:00 if the released value is < €17.3B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Jun 06:00
07 Apr 06:00
10 Mar 07:00
07 Nov 07:00
06 Sep 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $134142 movement on ES within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 06:00.

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We expect YM to trend upwards for the next 48 hours.

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