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We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards today with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $200 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-05 12:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-05 12:30 if the released value is > 75K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Jun 12:30
04 Apr 12:30
10 Jan 13:30
06 Dec 13:30
04 Oct 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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