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We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

We expect a $740 movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the release of NAB Business Confidence at 2025-08-12 01:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-08-12 01:30 if the released value is < 3. A price movement of 74 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 00:30
08 Oct 00:30
10 Sep 01:30
13 Aug 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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