Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect NIY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 0.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 Nov 10:00 |
31 Oct 10:00 |
28 Jun 09:00 |
31 Mar 09:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).