Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect NIY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 0%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
23 Jan 12:45 |
24 Oct 11:45 |
12 Sep 11:45 |
25 Jul 11:45 |
10 Apr 11:45 |
07 Mar 12:45 |
13 Dec 12:45 |
25 Oct 11:45 |
13 Sep 11:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
