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We expect NIY to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect a $16480200 movement on NIY within 12 hours following the event release at 2022-10-28 03:00. We expect NIY to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2022-10-28 03:00 if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Sep 03:00
17 Jun 03:00
18 Jan 03:00
17 Dec 03:00
16 Jul 03:00
18 Jun 03:00
27 Apr 03:00
19 Mar 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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