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We expect MW to trend upwards with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence Flash events in Euro Area, we expect MW to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect MW to trend upwards for 4 hours because the released value is > -8.2. A price movement of 425 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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