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We expect MW to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect a $8625 movement on MW within 12 hours following the release of Non Farm Payrolls at 2025-01-10 13:30. We expect MW to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-01-10 13:30 if the released value is < 160K. A price movement of 59 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Nov 12:30
06 Sep 12:30
02 Aug 12:30
03 May 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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