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We expect MW to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect MW to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect MW to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2024-12-19 12:00 if the released value is = 4.75%. A price movement of 81 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Nov 12:00
19 Sep 11:00
01 Aug 11:00
20 Jun 11:00
09 May 11:00
21 Mar 12:00
14 Dec 12:00
03 Aug 11:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $235 movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release at 2024-12-19 12:00.

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