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We expect KC to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect KC to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 700K. A price movement of 197 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Mar 13:30
06 Nov 13:30
07 Aug 12:30
02 Jul 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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