Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect HE to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect HE to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-01-31 19:00 if the released value is = 5.5%. A price movement of 357 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
13 Dec 19:00 |
01 Nov 18:00 |
26 Jul 18:00 |
14 Jun 18:00 |
22 Mar 18:00 |
01 Feb 19:00 |
02 Nov 18:00 |
21 Sep 18:00 |
27 Jul 18:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
