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We expect GF to trend upwards today with a 85.71% chance.

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect GF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect GF to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 08 Sep 14:00 if the released value is < 56. A price movement of 648 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Aug 14:00
04 Jun 14:00
07 May 14:00
07 Jan 15:00
07 Dec 15:00
04 Sep 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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