Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect GF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect GF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2022-09-08 12:15 if the released value is = 1.25%. A price movement of 118 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
14 Apr 11:45 |
10 Mar 12:45 |
16 Dec 12:45 |
28 Oct 11:45 |
09 Sep 11:45 |
10 Jun 11:45 |
22 Apr 11:45 |
11 Mar 12:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).