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We expect GF to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect GF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GF to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 11 Mar 12:30 if the released value is < 2.2%. A price movement of 297 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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