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We expect GC to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect GC to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > $-70.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Sep 12:30
08 Jun 12:30
04 May 12:30
04 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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