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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect a $890 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the release of Non Farm Payrolls at 2024-12-06 13:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-06 13:30 if the released value is > 200K. A price movement of 89 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Oct 12:30
05 Jul 12:30
07 Jun 12:30
05 Apr 12:30
02 Feb 13:30
08 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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