Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-31 09:00 if the released value is > 1.6%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
03 Feb 10:00![]() |
31 Jul 08:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).