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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-31 09:00 if the released value is > 1.6%. A price movement of 15 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Feb 10:00
31 Jul 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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