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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-06-02 14:00 if the released value is < 49.5. A price movement of 31 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Apr 14:00
01 Nov 14:00
01 Oct 14:00
03 Sep 14:00
01 Aug 14:00
01 Jul 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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