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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 1.4%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 12:00
27 Jun 12:00
28 Feb 13:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $1,413.216 movement on OJ within the next 48 hours.

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