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We expect EMD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours.

Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 71.43% chance of EMD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 130K. A price movement of 310 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Apr 12:30
10 Jan 13:30
06 Dec 13:30
04 Oct 12:30
05 Jul 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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