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We expect CRD to trend upwards with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in Australia, we expect CRD to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect CRD to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is > 16.3%. A price movement of 32 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Jun 01:30
06 May 01:30
03 Apr 00:30
11 Jan 00:30
02 Aug 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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