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We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards today with a 85.71% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, AUDUSD could trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. If the released value is > £-11.8B we could see AUDUSD trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 13 Jun 06:00.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Apr 06:00
11 Feb 07:00
10 Dec 07:00
11 Nov 07:00
09 Jul 11:00
11 Jun 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We could see a 2,562 pip movement on S within 12 hours following this event release.

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