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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, AUDUSD could experience an downwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this, and the trend could last 4 hours because the released value is < 0.9%. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Feb 10:00
05 Jan 10:00
30 Nov 10:00
31 Oct 10:00
28 Jun 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 5500 pip movement on NKD within 2 hours following the event release.

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