Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect a $380 movement on AUDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-07-16 23:50. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-07-16 23:50 if the released value is < ¥353.9B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
18 Mar 23:50 |
19 Nov 23:50 |
20 Aug 23:50 |
21 May 23:50 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
