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We expect a 89 pip movement on HE within 2 hours following the event release.

Based on past United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 80% chance of HE trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 3.4%. A price movement of 89 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Apr 06:00
26 Mar 07:00
16 Oct 06:00
14 Aug 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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