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We expect a 727 pip movement on GF within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on past Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of GF trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 2.75%. A price movement of 727 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 14:45
23 Oct 13:45
04 Sep 13:45
24 Jul 13:45
05 Jun 13:45
10 Apr 13:45
06 Mar 14:45
24 Jan 14:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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