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We expect a $706 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the release of Retail Sales MoM.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-03-17 12:30 if the released value is > 0.7%. A price movement of 105 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Oct 12:30
17 Sep 12:30
15 Aug 12:30
15 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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