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We expect a 66 pip movement on NZDUSD within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a 66 pip movement on NZDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-01 12:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-01 12:30 if the released value is < 110K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Mar 13:30
07 Feb 13:30
01 Nov 12:30
06 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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