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We expect a $5,421.12 movement on EMD within 4 hours following the event release at 21 May 23:30.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect a $5,421.12 movement on EMD within 4 hours following the event release at 21 May 23:30. We expect EMD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 21 May 23:30 if the released value is < 0.2% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Mar 23:30
21 Nov 23:30
17 Oct 23:30
19 Sep 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect OJ to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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We expect a 25 pip movement on FV within 48 hours following the event release.

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