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We expect a $520 movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-06-26 12:30.

We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 8.5%. A price movement of 52 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Apr 12:30
26 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30
26 Sep 12:30
26 Aug 12:30
27 Jun 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 550 pip movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release.

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