Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-09-30 09:00 if the released value is = 1.7%. A price movement of 52 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 Jun 09:00 |
30 May 09:00 |
30 Apr 09:00 |
28 Feb 10:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
