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We expect a 41 pip movement on AUDUSD within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on past Germany Ifo Business Climate news events there is a 87.5% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 85.6. A price movement of 41 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Sep 08:00
25 Jul 08:00
24 Jun 08:00
27 May 08:00
25 Jan 09:00
18 Dec 09:00
24 Nov 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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