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We expect a $3646 movement on OJ within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-08 06:00.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect OJ to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect OJ to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-08 06:00 if the released value is < €15.4B. A price movement of 314 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Aug 06:00
06 Jun 06:00
07 Apr 06:00
10 Mar 07:00
07 Nov 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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