Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-20 23:30 if the released value is > 4.2%. A price movement of 52 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
20 Feb 23:30![]() |
23 Jan 23:30![]() |
20 Jun 23:30![]() |
23 May 23:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).