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We expect a 34 pip movement on GBPUSD within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 12:00
06 Jan 13:00
30 Oct 13:00
30 Jul 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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