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We expect a $32.402 movement on ZN within 4 hours following the event release at 22 Jan 15:00.

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect a $32.402 movement on ZN within 4 hours following the event release at 22 Jan 15:00. We expect ZN to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 22 Jan 15:00 if the released value is = 1.75%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Oct 14:00
04 Sep 14:00
10 Jul 14:00
06 Mar 15:00
09 Jan 15:00
05 Dec 15:00
24 Oct 14:00
05 Sep 14:00
11 Jul 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 525 pip movement on ZW for the next 4 hours.

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