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We expect a 26750 pip movement on NIY within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, we expect NIY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > €16.1B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Mar 07:00
02 Feb 07:00
05 Jan 07:00
03 Aug 06:00
04 Apr 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Esperamos un movimiento de 5687 pips en el ES dentro de unas 12 horas posteriores a la publicación del evento.

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USD/JPY a subi une très grosse baisse pendant 2 jours jusqu’à 134.513

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