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We expect a 225 pip movement on S within 2 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect a 225 pip movement on S within 2 hours following the event release at 04 Mar 05:00 UTC. We expect S to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 Mar 05:00 UTC if the released value is > 30.8

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Dec 05:00
02 Oct 05:00
31 Aug 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect 6J to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

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