Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect ZN to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect ZN to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-05-02 12:30 if the released value is > 130K. A price movement of 127 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
04 Apr 12:30 |
10 Jan 13:30 |
06 Dec 13:30 |
04 Oct 12:30 |
07 Jun 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
