We expect a $155 movement on UB within 4 hours following the release of BoC Interest Rate Decision at 2025-04-16 13:45. We expect UB to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-16 13:45 if the released value is = 2.75%. A price movement of 42 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
12 Mar 13:45![]() |
29 Jan 14:45![]() |
11 Dec 14:45![]() |
24 Jul 13:45![]() |
05 Jun 13:45![]() |
10 Apr 13:45![]() |
24 Jan 14:45![]() |
25 Oct 14:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).