Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect a $14154 movement on ZC within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-31 09:00. We expect ZC to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-31 09:00 if the released value is = 1.9%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
28 Feb 10:00![]() |
31 May 09:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).